Where Will The Housing Market Go Next?

As housing prices consistently press upwards, National Association Of Realtors (NAR) Chief Economist Lawrence Yun anticipated fixedness in the existing-home deals throughout the following year while talking at the 2013 Realtors Conference & Expo.

Economy Recovery

Yun said, in the wake of inspecting the previous year, he anticipates existing-home sales to rise around 10 percent in 2013 to 5.13 million. Sales in 2014 are expecting to hold steady at almost 5.12 million.

Investigating price inflations, he said the national average existing-home costs will end the year at roughly 11 percent higher than in 2012, arriving at $197,000. One year from now, prices are anticipating a cut nearly in half at the vicinity of 6 percent.

Yun illustrates existing-home sales have indicated a 20 percent cumulative climb, in the past couple of years, while prices have picked up an 18 percent rise. Meanwhile, wages have only climbed a mere 2-4 percent.

Noting that the median-wage family should still be “well-positioned” to purchase a home in 2014 in numerous regions, “We’ve fallen off of record high housing affordability conditions over the recent year, and are currently at a five-year low, yet conditions are still the fifth best in the previous 40 years,” Yun explains.

Affordability aside, additional impugnation includes a very limited inventory and stringent mortgage standards, both of which are expected to proceed as housing starts struggle and business costs remain elevated for lenders.

On housing production, Yun figures 917,000 starts through the close of 2013 and 1.13 million in 2014, which falls short of the underlying demand of 1.5 million. New home sales are expected to total 429,000 in 2013 and 508,000 in the upcoming year.



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